(Rankings based off CFP Poll)

  1. (1) Georgia Vs. (8) Alabama - This game has the potential to be the best SEC championship game of all time, and it was major playoff implications, with Georgia sitting at number one, pretty much guaranteed to make it into the playoffs with a win. However, if they lose, Alabama would still need some help, with Oregon and Texas losing, along with the committee being in their sides. Alabama is coming off the craziest Iron Bowl since the Kick Six, while Georgia just had the toughest game of their season. Georgia’s win last week was their first win by one score this year since they played Auburn in week 5. Georgia Tech tested them, but Georgia ultimately prevailed, 31-23. That was their 29th straight win, and know have the longest winning streak in not only college football, but the longest streak that a SEC member has ever had. They’re looking for 30 straight Saturday, which brings up the last time they lost. It was the 2021 SEC championship, when Georgia took on no other than Alabama. Nearly 2 years after suffering a loss that they avenged in the national championship game, they could make it come full circle. Georgia was also undefeated coming into that game, but got blown out, 41-24. Carson Beck can also avenge that loss, as he was on the team back in 2021. He’s thrown for 3,500 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. he’s also ran for 3 touchdowns. Beck now has a very good chance at going 3-3 at Georgia, and this time he could do it as the starting quarterback. Beck had an alright game last week, throwing for 175 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interceptions. He was game managing through most of it, as Kendall Milton had a career game. He had 18 carries for 156 yards and 2 touchdowns, with both of them coming from inside the 5. Milton has ran for 644 yards and 10 touchdowns on 99 carries this year, making an intimidated duo with Daijun Edwards at running back. Edwards has ran for 780 yards and 11 touchdowns off 147 carries this year. Edwards and Milton have combined for 16 rushing touchdowns from inside the 10 yard line, and as a team, Georgia has 32 rushing touchdowns, tied for first in the conference with LSU. Alabama is right behind them with 29, however. That’s opened things up for the passing game, as they get to chew clock and build up a lead, so Beck can connect with his best target, Brock Bowers. Bowers has caught 51 passes for 660 yards and 6 touchdowns. However, he’s played in just 9 games this season, and missed last week, along with 3 other players in the passing game. Two of those players were Ladd McConkey and Rara Thomas. McConkey has battled injuries all season, playing in just 6 games. He’s caught 26 passes for 420 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Thomas played in every game this season except for last week. He’s caught 23 passes for 380 yards and a touchdown this year. Georgia are going to need those guys back, and Bowers is trending to a return, but we have to wait and see. Georgia is also going to need for Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint to step up, as he didn’t get a catch last week. He’s caught 29 passes for 470 yards and 4 touchdowns this year. It seemed like only one player was active in the passing game was Dominic Lovett. Lovett caught 5 passes for 68 yards and Beck’s only passing touchdown last week. He now has 49 catches for 550 yards and 3 touchdowns this year. Enough about Georgia’s offense,  let’s talk about their real strength, which is their defense. They allow just 16 points per game and 294 yards per game, both the best in the SEC. They only have 25 sacks, fourth worst in the conference, but have picked off opposing quarterbacks 12 times, tied for first. They’ve also allowed just 11 passing touchdowns, the top of the SEC. Alabama also has a great defense, allowing 18 points per game and 313 yards per game, both top 3 in the SEC. Bama also has 36 sacks, second in the conference. Alabama’s defense helped them out big time last week, forcing 3 turnovers, including recovering a muffed punt to give Alabama their last drive, the one that won the game for them. Alabama also had a game sealing pick after their crazy last drive. Jalen Milroe wasn’t helping them that much on that last set of downs, as a snap went past him, which resulted in a loss of 18. The next play, he threw a pass in front of the line of scrimmage. He already had one of those earlier in the game, something that Milroe has to fix this week. Anyways, it was 4th and goal from Auburn’s 31 yard line. Milroe had time, as Auburn only rushed 3. He threw a deep ball, something that he’s done incredibly well this season. He somehow found Isaiah Bond in the back of the end zone, and he of course came down with it. Alabama now has crazy momentum, and we just saw Georgia play their worst game this season, at least in my eyes.  Jalen Milroe worked his magic, and has now thrown for 2,526 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. He’s also ran for 440 yards and 12 touchdowns. He threw for 260 yards and 2 touchdowns last week, while tacking on 107 rush yards. Milroe has usually thrown it to Jermaine Burton in clutch situations, but he didn’t last week. Burton still had a great game, with 4 catches for 107 yards and a 68 yard touchdown. He has 33 catches for 750 yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Isaiah Bond didn’t just have to touchdown catch, as he had 5 catches for 75 yards and the game winning touchdown as well. He has 39 receptions for 540 yards and 4 touchdowns this year, making a nasty duo at receiver for Georgia to cover all game. They’re certainly going to get tired, and it doesn’t help when they go up against two great running backs as well. Jase McClellan has 166 carries for 800 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Roydell Williams has 94 carries for 500 yards and 4 touchdowns. Alabama averages 177.6 rush yards per game, while Georgia averages 185.6. Whoever can run the ball better will win this game, and although Jalen Milroe can do more than Beck, Georgia’s defense will be enough to take them over the top, 45-37. Odds: UGA -5, O/U 54.5
  2. (3) Washington Vs. (5) Oregon - This one was potentially even more playoff implications than the game above, as if Oregon wins, that could cause some chaos. I’m not going to run out different scenarios, as that would take time away from the teams and players. I’ll start with their first matchup this year, which took place is Seattle. Washington came out on top, 36-33. Oregon kicker Camden Lewis missed a game tying kick that would’ve sent the game into overtime. Based on how the game was going, Oregon probably would’ve won in overtime. Bo Nix threw for 340 yards and 2 touchdowns in the close loss, and if he has a good game, he could jump up to number one in my Heisman rankings. Usually I wrote that there’s more about a Heisman candidate at the bottom, but because it’s the last week, I won’t. Nix has thrown for 3,906 yards, 37 touchdowns, and just 2 interceptions this year. He’s also tacked on 6 rushing touchdowns. Nix has turned around his career since coming to Oregon, and now has a great chance to win the Heisman and to have his team in the playoffs. Nix also has a completion percentage of 78.6%, the best in the country. Just like in their first matchup, Nix is going to have Oregon in a good spot if it’s close. His main receiver, Troy Franklin, who went for 154 yards and a touchdown off 8 catches in the first matchup, is going to be a big factor in this game. He also had a great game last week, catching 9 passes for 130 yards and another touchdown. He has just 3 games under 100 yards this year, and hasn’t gone under 80. He also had only 2 games without a touchdown. Franklin finished the regular season with 77 catches for 1,350 yards and 14 touchdowns. He’s at the top of the Pac 12 in both yards and touchdowns, while he is fourth in catches. Right behind him is Bo Nix’s high school teammate and adopted brother, Tez Johnson. Johnson has caught 70 passes for 940 yards and 9 touchdowns. He’s sixth in catches and touchdowns, while he’s seventh in yards in the Pac 12. Johnson had a big game last week, catching 11 passes for 140 yards. It was only his second game with double digit catches, and the other game was an even bigger one. He had 12 catches for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns against Cal. Oregon played insanely good last week, which reflected in the score, beating Oregon State 31-7. Another reason why Oregon was so good last week was because of the running backs, Bucky Irving and Jordan James. Although they combined for just 84 yards, James had a touchdown on the ground, while Irving caught a touchdown. Against Washington, they combined for 190 yards. Irving had 130 yards and a touchdown off 22 carries, while James had 11 rushes for 60 yards and he also had a touchdown. Bucky Irving also tacked on 6 catches for 34 yards. On the year, Irving has 163 carries for 1,040 yards and 10 touchdowns, along with 48 catches for 380 yards and 2 touchdowns. He’s been a threat in both of the passing and running game, and Washington’s defense are going to have their hands full with him. Jordan James has 93 carries for 660 yards and 10 touchdowns. He’s only gone over 100 yards once this season, which came back against Washington State. James has also been a valuable contributor in the passing game, with 13 catches for 90 yards and a touchdown this year. He hasn’t been as good as Irving in the passing game, but he’s been the number 2 back, so of course he’s not going to have as good of numbers. Just like their offense, Oregon’s defense is near the top of the conference. They allow just 16 points per game, first in the Pac 12, and 307 yards per game, second in the Pac 12. They also have 32 sacks, fourth in the conference. There isn’t really a star on this defense, with no player higher than 5 sacks or 2 picks. As a team, they have 10 interceptions. That’s around the middle of the pack in the Pac 12, but leading the conference are the Washington Huskies. They have 15, 3 of them coming from Jabbar Muhammad. Muhammad named 2 against Oregon State, and also recovered a fumble. The defense did most of the work against Oregon State, allowing just 20 points, and forced Oregon State to go 3-12 on third downs. Although Oregon State controlled the ball for 37 and a half minutes, Washington stopped the run extremely well, allowing just 150 yards. Washington allows 134.6 rush yards per game, which is eight in the conference, but it’s not even close, with Wazzu allow 151. Oregon is better at stopping the run, allowing 92.6 rush yards per game, third in the Pac 12. Washington does allow 400 yards per game, but only 23 points per game. Because Washington has been able to keep other teams out of the end zone, they can score a lot of points. They average 38 points per game, but it’s kinda slipped as of late, with 24 points last week and 22 points the week before. Washington has also not put up a lot of yards in the two weeks, with 272 against Oregon State and 306 against Washington State. They were out gained in both of these games, but forced 5 turnovers combined. Washington was started to rely on their defense, something that they were doing the opposite of just a month ago, allowing 42 against USC and putting up 52. Maybe teams have started to figure out Michael Penix Jr., as he now doesn’t led the country in passing yards, like he has for most of the season. Bo Nix is leading the country instead. Penix has thrown for 3,900 yards, 32 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. He’s had 3 straight games with a completion percentage less than 60%, and his last 2 games were 2 of his 3 games this season with less than 300 yards. Penix has tacked on 3 rushing touchdowns as well. Penix has one of the most talented receiving corps in the country, and Oregon has already played them, so they will now how to stop them. However, Jalen McMillan, who battled injuries this season, only came in for a bit in that game before going out. He didn’t record a pass, but it’s not like Oregon was shutting him down either. If he can break free for a few plays, Washington will have the edge in offense, and they’re already don’t have it on defense. McMillan has just 25 catches for 340 yards and 3 touchdowns this year. He’s part of the best receiving trio in the country, at least in my eyes. He’s obviously lost a step because of the injuries, as he only had 5 catches for 26 yards last week. The other two players in that duo were Rome Odunze and Ja’Lynn Polk. I’ll start with Odunze, who’s been one of the most electric players in college this year. He has 73 catches for 1,326 yards and 13 touchdowns, all near the top of the Pac 12. He’s going to be the second receiver off the board in the NFL draft after Marvin Harrison Jr., but Odunze has potential to look like the better receiver this game. Odunze had a key rush for a first down last week off a crazy play call, and finished with 7 catches for 120 yards and 2 touchdowns, with the one carry for 23 yards. He’s now had 3 straight games with over 100 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ja’Lynn Polk hasn’t been as good as Odunze this year, but he’s still be great. He has 55 catches for 940 yards and 8 touchdowns. He hasn’t caught a pass in the past 2 weeks, but if he can get back on track, Oregon’s defense is going to end up with a big headache. Germie Bernard has stepped up as the wide receiver 3 with McMillian out, and has 29 catches for 366 yards and a touchdown. He also has 2 rushing touchdowns, with both coming inside the 10. When Washington gets down into the red zone and Bernard is on the field, Oregon can get confused, as there are so many different skill players for Washington. Another one is Dillon Johnson, who’s ran for 960 yards and 12 touchdowns on 173 carries. He’s exploded in the month of November, as he had 430 yards in the first two months, but 530 last month. He had 256 yards and 4 touchdowns in just one game, which was the first game of the month, against USC. It’s going to be a big battle, and because it’s going to be played in a inside stadium, the defense is going to have to do the stopping, not the conditions like the past 2 weeks for Washington. It’s going to be high scoring, but Oregon’s defense is just too good, and they win, 38-35. Odds: ORE -10, O/U 65.5
  3. (4) Florida State Vs. (14) Louisville - Even though they suffered a loss last week, Louisville still has a good chance to knock off the playoff-hopeful Seminoles. Starting with the Cardinals, they looked great coming into last week, at 10-1. They were hosting the game, making it senior day. They lost 4 straight against Kentucky, and that’s continued to 5 straight. Louisville let up a big second half to Kentucky, but tied it up late after a Jack Plummer touchdown throw. However, they let Kentucky’s Ray Davis break off a 37 yard run. Louisville got the ball back, but Plummer threw a pick late to seal Louisville’s potential 11-1 season. Now, the Cards practically don’t have a shot at a NY6, probably because of themselves. Both of their losses were upsets, with them also losing to Pitt. Jack Plummer has thrown for 2,950 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. He’s probably the weakest link, and I thought that he wasn’t, but last week proved me wrong. He wasn’t great last week, but not bad either. He threw for 240 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 pick. The interception came on Louisville’s last play, and it was a really stupid throw. It was thrown up to three people, but there were 5 Kentucky defenders, and Plummer had a receiver breaking free on the other side of the field. Regardless of Plummer’s play this week, Louisville is going to be able to keep up. Jawhar Jordan has ran for 1,076 yards and 13 touchdowns on 167 carries. He did have 17 carries for 67 yards and 2 touchdowns last week, but lost a fumble. The week prior, he only had 9 rushes for 33 yards. Louisville have now played in 3 straight games settled by a touchdown. Isaac Guerendo has also been a key contributor in the rushing game, with 105 carries for 640 yards and 8 touchdowns, and he’s really exploded the past few weeks. He also has caught 17 passes for 190 yards. Jordan has also been a great pass catcher for a running back, with 18 catches for 225 yards and a touchdown. Just like the rest of the offense, Jamari Thrash has been on a slump the past few weeks. He’s caught 56 passes for 800 yards and 6 touchdowns this year. He has 6 catches for 69 yards last week, but the week prior, he had 1 catch for just 7 yards. Thrash’s catches have fallen off, from about 8-10 to about 4. Plummer is also targeting the other pass catchers more than Thrash, as 3-4 other players have around 5 catches. Sure, he’s spreading the ball out, but you want to get the ball into your best player’s hands, not your fifth or sixth. As for Florida State’s they’ve been leaving dangerously. They pulled ahead from Florida last week, winning 24-15. They fell behind 12-0, with Tate Rodemaker not playing well. I didn’t expect him to play well this week, but not as bad as he did. He had a completion percentage of 48%, and had 134 yards and no touchdowns. In almost two whole games and garbage time, he’s thrown for 519 yards and 5 touchdowns. Keep in mind, most of his playing time was meaningless. Trey Benson carried the team with 3 touchdowns, and he also had 19 carries for 95 yards. With Jordan Travis out, Trey Benson is going to carry the offense. He’s ran for 840 yards and 14 touchdowns on 138 carries this year, with 210 catches for a touchdown. FSU’s defense also helped them out a lot, sacking Max Brown 6 times last week. They’ve sacked opposing quarterbacks 38 times this season, tied for the best in the ACC. FSU’s defense is going to carry the team with Travis out, allowing just 17 points per game and 315.5 yards per game, both top 3 in the conference. They’ve also allowed just 8 passing touchdowns all season, first in the ACC, and it’s not even close. FSU’s secondary are going to be doing the most work Saturday night, something that can’t be said for their passing offense. I already talked about Tate Rodemaker, but if he plays like he did against Florida, Johnny Wilson and Keon Coleman are once again going to have bad games. Coleman is the leading receiver, bringing in 46 passes for 640 yards and 11 touchdowns. He had just one catches for 24 yards last week, and he needs to get involved more. Johnny Wilson didn’t have a bad game last week, with 6 catches for 64 yards, and has 39 receptions for 600 yards and 2 touchdowns. Wilson has played in just 8 games this season, while Coleman has missed 1 game. Although Wilson didn’t have a bad game last week, he had just 3 catches for 35 yards the week prior, which was against a FCS team. Although FSU ran the ball very effectively in that game, you would still expect one of their best receivers to have a good game. Both of Wilson’s touchdowns came in one game, which was against Virginia Tech back in October. FSU’s defense is going to confuse Jack Plummer, and just like last week, Louisville will be down late, and ultimately lose. Florida State stays unbeaten, 45-38. Odds: FSU -1.5, O/U 47.5
  4. (7) Texas Vs. (18) Oklahoma State - Texas is looking for some outside help, while Oklahoma State is looking to keep Ollie Gordon II. I’ll start with Texas, and if they win, they need lots of help to get into the playoffs. They need Georgia to win, and either Washington, Michigan, or Florida State lose. That way, a one loss Texas team can squeak by, but none of that matters if they lose against Oklahoma State. Star running back Jonathan Brooks won’t play, as he is out for the year. He’s ran for 1,140 yards and 10 touchdowns on 187 carries. He only had 2 games under 100 yards this year, and it’s going to be very hard for Texas to win not only this game, but the playoffs, if they make it. Without Brooks, Texas had two wildly different games. They beat Iowa State by 10, and CJ Baxter had a pretty good game. He had 20 carries for 120 yards. They then blew out Texas Tech, and had 302 total rushing yards. Baxter wasn’t the leading rusher, with just 9 carries for 45 yards. Quintrevion Winser had 60 yards and a touchdown, while Keilan Robinson also had a touchdown. Robinson also returned a kickoff 95 yards for a touchdown. Then there are the color backs, Jaydon Blue and Savion Red. Blue led the team with 120 yards, and also had a touchdown off just 10 carries. Red had 9 carries for 70 yards. It was obviously a blowout, so the stats are going to look good, but if the group of backs can do the same against a bad defense, maybe the won’t be in trouble in the playoffs, if they make it. Baxter has ran for 550 yards and 3 touchdowns off 116 carries. Blue has 46 carries for 306 yards and 2 touchdowns. A great back who isn’t injured and out for the year is Ollie Gordon II. At one point, many people, including me, were throwing around his name in the Heisman consideration. He’s ran for 1,580 yards, the most on the country, 20 touchdowns, the second most, all off 245 carries, fifth most in the country. After a bad game against UCF, Gordon has rallied two these two straight good games. He had around 165 yards in both games and 8 total touchdowns. He had 5 of them last week, in a comeback win over BYU, 40-34. He didn’t even get his first touchdown until 11 minutes left in the third quarter, and scored all of Oklahoma State’s touchdowns. All if them came inside of the red zone, and 4 of them came inside the 3 yard line. Oklahoma State’s defense, who struggled this year, allowed just 10 points in the fourth quarter and overtime, with no points in the third. They also forced 2 turnovers, including a fumble in the second overtime to seal the win. It was looking like they were going to struggle, as BYU was up at halftime, 24-6. Two years ago, the last time Oklahoma State was in the Big 12 championship game, OKST were led by their stellar defense. They were at the top of the conference in both yards per game and points per game allowed. They regressed to middle of the pack in 2022, and are now near the bottom. They allow 423 yards per game and 27 points per game. Both are in the bottom half of the Big 12, while the yards are the second worst. Texas is the opposite, at the top of the Big 12 in both stats. The Longhorns allow 325 yards per game and 17 points per game. Ollie Gordon is really carrying the team, as Alan Bowman has also not looked good this season. He’s thrown for 2,810 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. He did throw for 320 yards last week, but 2 interceptions. Just like Gordon, Bowman struggled against UCF, throwing for just 225 yards and 3 interceptions in the 45-3 loss. Bowman is going to struggle against a great defense, so Gordon is going to have to carry the team again. As for Texas, their quarterback hasn’t struggled. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 2,710 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 5 picks. Ewers has missed some games this season, but is healthy for this one. He has a plethora of receivers that make his day easier, like Xavier Worthy. Worthy has caught 68 passes for 880 yards and 5 touchdowns. He’s been the standout receiver for Texas, and he also has a punt return touchdown, and he’s thrown a pass for 35 yards this year. Adonai Mitchell has also been one of the better pass catchers in the Big 12, with 45 catches for 700 yards and 9 touchdowns. Ja’Tavion Sanders has tacked on 31 catches for 500 yards and a touchdown. He was big in the game against Alabama, with 5 catches for 114 yards. He’s going to be a major contributor to Texas game this week. Texas’ stellar defense will be able to shut down Ollie Gordon, and the Longhorns win, 35-28. Odds: TEX -15.5, O/U 54.5
  5. SMU @ (22) Tulane - Both teams are rolling into this one, with Tulane winning 10 straight and SMU winning 8 straight. SMU is 10-2, while Tulane’s only loss came to Ole Miss. Both teams are also undefeated in conference play, so this game should be pretty high scoring, right? However, Preston Stone, the SMU quarterback, is out for the rest of the year. He’s been great this year, throwing for 3,200 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. He’s also ran for 200 yards and 4 touchdowns. Kevin Jennings will be the starter, and he’s only thrown for 224 yards and 3 touchdowns on mostly garbage time this year. No real receiver has broken out and has crazy good numbers, as RJ Maryland only has 460 yards, and he leads the team. He also has 29 catches for 7 touchdowns. Jordan Hudson also has 7 touchdowns, along with 27 catches for 400 yards. He’s tied with Moochie Dixon for yards, and Dixon also has 21 catches for 4 touchdowns. Two other players have over 400 yards, this being Jake Bailey and Romello Brinson. Brinson has 2 touchdowns, while Bailey doesn’t have one. Three other players have over 300 yards, but after them, no other player has over 100 yards or double digit catches. Only a couple of them could be injured or off the field and you wouldn’t even notice. Kevin Jennings is going to have a lot of players to through to, and he’s going have to throw more than he probably should as a first time starter, because Jaylan Knighton is questionable. He is supposed to play this game, but he could get injured in this game. Knighton has ran for 645 yards and 6 touchdowns on 113 carries. He’s been splitting carries with LJ Johnson Jr. Johnson has ran for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns off 99 carries. Just like the receivers, the running backs are crowded. Camar Wheaton has 76 carries for 390 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Tyler Lavine has 7 touchdowns, 3 of them coming last week. As a unit, SMU averages 472 yards per game and 42 points per game, both top 2 in the American, while the points per game are first. Their defense is also at the top of the American, allowing just 302 yards per game and 17.7 points per game. Both are leading the conference. Tulane also has a great defense, allowing just 18 points per game and 329 yards per game, as they are both second in the conference. SMU leads the American with 49 sacks, while Tulane has 33. The fate of SMU’s game rests on how well Jennings will play, but I think he should do good. Tulane, however, have picked off opposing quarterbacks 15 times this season, the most in the conference. Tulane’s offense isn’t as good as SMU’s, but not the worst either. They average 388 yards per game and 28 points per game. Michael Pratt has thrown for 2,170 yards,21 touchdowns, and just 4 interceptions. He’s also ran for 329 yards and 4 touchdowns. Pratt is coming off a shaky game, where he threw for just 125 yards, but he threw for 2 touchdowns. He did all of this on a 40.9% completion percentage, his worst of the year. He also ran for 50 yards. Tulane pulled through, however, as the defense forced 5 turnovers. Tulane only had 13 first downs, and went 5-15 in third down. Makhi Hughes had a big game, running for 166 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. Hughes has 232 carries for 1,246 yards and 7 touchdowns this season, and this is his first year in college. If Pratt has another bad game, which might happen because of how good SMU’s defense is, Hughes is going to have to step up once again. Pratt only completed 9 passes last week, but 5 of them went to Chris Brazzell II, and he also had 93 yards and both touchdowns. He has 41 catches for 670 yards and 5 touchdowns this year. His first two touchdowns came in his first two games, but his last three have came in the past two weeks. Hopefully he can get back into the end zone this game. Lawrence Keys III leads the team with 7 touchdowns, along with 33 catches for 600 yards. I think that if Preston Stone was playing for SMU, they would win. However, Tulane’s strong secondary over powers the first time starter, 24-21. Odds: TULN -3.5, O/U 47.5
  6. Miami of Ohio Vs. Toledo - Trying to avenge their loss to Toledo, Miami of Ohio is looking for their fourth ever MAC championship game win, while Toledo is looking for their fifth, and to repeat as winners of the MAC. Miami of Ohio has lost 2 games this year, while Toledo has lost just one. M-OH’s first loss came back in week one when Miami thrashed them 38-3. The second was against these Toledo Rockets, losing 21-17. In the fourth quarter of that game, neither team scored, and all of ended in a punt except for one, when Aevon Smith fumbled late to seal the win for Toledo. In that game, Brett Gabbert went down for the RedHawks, and was out for the season from there. Aevon Smith finished the game going 3/7 for 23 yards and a fumble. Hopefully now, with some games under his belt, Miami of Ohio can beat Toledo with their backup, which they were unable to do last time. Smith has thrown for 530 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, along with running for 180 yards and a touchdown. He’s had a completion percentage of just 52.5%, which is something that Toledo has well at a lot of defense this year. They have forced a 52.2% completion percentage all year, and have sacked opposing quarterbacks 34 times, both the most in the MAC. Toledo’s quarterback, Dequan Finn, has been great this year, throwing for 2,384 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. He’s also ran for 530 yards and 6 touchdowns. Finn threw for 160 yards and 2 touchdowns, while also running for a touchdown and 34 yards. Finn has a very good chance to take over games, and he can do that this week, but M-OH’s defense is great. They allow 16 points per game, second in the MAC, and 322 yards per game, fourth in the conference. They’ve also sacked opposing quarterbacks 33 times, tied for second in the conference. However, M-OH’s offense is not as good. They average 333 yards per game, but 27 points per game, second in the MAC. Rashod Amos has ran for 820 yards and 10 touchdowns on 163 carries. It’s going to be a big head to head matchup between running backs, Peny Boone has pretty good numbers, with 183 carries for 1,360 yards and an insane 15 touchdowns. Boone leads the conference in yards and touchdowns, while Amos is fifth in yards and tied for second in touchdowns. For the receivers, M-OH and Toledo are pretty even. Gage Larvadain is second I. The MAC with 625 yards, and he also has 36 catches for 6 touchdown. However, he’s battled some injuries, and hasn’t played in the past 2 games. For Toledo, the duo of Jerjuan Newton and Junior Vandeross III have combined for 1,075 yards, and are both in the top 10 in the MAC. Newton has 43 catches and 9 touchdowns, while Vandeross has caught 38 passes for 4 touchdowns. M-OH is devastated by injuries, and it also doesn’t help when your starting quarterback isn’t playing in the biggest game of your season, so Toledo wins, 24-17. Odds: TOL -8, O/U 43.5
  7. Boise State @ UNLV - This game wasn’t even set until Sunday, as a computer had to decide who got to play in this game. There was a 3 way tie between these two and San Jose State. All three finished 6-2 in conference play, with Boise State and SJSU finishing 7-5, while UNLV finished 9-3. The computer decided that UNLV was the best team, so they get to host the game. As for Boise State, they were determined that they were the second best, and the Broncos already beat SJSU this season, 35-27. Boise State did that with their head coach Andy Avalos, who has fired after their tenth game following a 5-5 start. Boise win those last 2 games by a combined score of 72-29. It seems like that was the best thing to happen to Boise State this year, as they were in danger of their first losing season since 1997. However, they won those last 2 games, and the worst they can go is 7-7 now. Just like in 2022, a coaching change in the middle of the season turned around the team. After being benched, Taylen Green threw for 230 yards, 1 touchdown, but 2 picks. However, he did run for a touchdown. On the year, he has 1,526 yards, but 9 touchdowns to 8 interceptions. He’s ran for 346 yards and 7 touchdowns as well. Maddux Madden, who was starting after Green’s benching, was playing pretty good before being benched. He threw for 1,190 yards, 9 touchdowns, and just 3 interceptions before being injured against New Mexico. He’s also ran for 120 yards and 2 touchdowns. Green obviously struggled last week, and has thrown an interception in every game he’s started this year except for 2. The two games that he didn’t, however, he didn’t run for a touchdown either. If he doesn’t throw a pick this game, it’ll most likely come as a cost for Boise State’s rushing game. It’s going to be hard for him not to throw a pick, however, as UNLV have intercepted opposing quarterbacks 13 times this season, second in the Mountain West. They also allow just 240 pass yards this year, which is much better than Boise State, who are last in the conference at 255. That is bad, however, as Boise State allows just 382 yards per game, fourth in the Mountain West. Boise State is great at getting after quarterbacks, with 34 sacks so far this year, top the conference. UNLV only has 24. UNLV’s defense isn’t the reason why they’re having their best season in 10 years. 2013 was their last time UNLV had a winning record, but before that it was 2000. Barry Odom has turned around this program, and he could get a job at a bigger school this offseason, but we have to wait and see. UNLV’s identity is their passing game, averaging 237 pass yards per game, fifth in the Mountain West. Boise State is right behind them, with 230 passing yards per game. UNLV averages 424.5 yards per game, while Boise State is at 437 yards per game. This one will definitely be high scoring, with UNLV averaging 35.5 points per game to Boise State’s 32. Boise State is also really good at running the ball, as Ashton Jeanty has ran for 1,110 yards and 13 touchdowns on 183 carries. He’s also caught 37 passes for 540 yards and 5 touchdowns this year, and has simply been a touchdown machine this year. He’s had 6 games this year where he’s scored 2 or more touchdowns, and he’s only played in 10 games. Last week, he had 107 yards and a touchdown off 14 carries. He also had 5 catches for 120 yards and another touchdown. Like I stated earlier, UNLV is great through the air. Jayden Maiava has thrown for 2,630 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. He’s also ran for 244 yards and 3 touchdowns. His top receiver has been Ricky White, who’s caught 75 passes for 1,300 yards and 7 touchdowns. He started the season out slow, with just 4 catches for 36 yards through the first two weeks. Since week 2, he’s only had 3 games under 100 yards, and they were all more than 55. Unlike UNLV, Boise State won’t have their top receiver. Eric McAlister has caught 47 passes for 870 yards and 5 touchdowns this year. He jumped into the portal, so he won’t be active for this one. UNLV hasn’t had anyone in the portal, and they’re hoping for that to stay true this offseason, especially at the running back position. Vincent Davis Jr. has 118 carries for 670 yards and 5 touchdowns this year, while Jai’Den Thomas has 107 carries for 500 yards and 12 touchdowns. Thomas had 3 touchdowns last week, while Davis tacked on 88 yards. Donavyn Lester has ran for 450 yards on 94 carries. Although that might not seem like a lot, he has 9 touchdowns as well. UNLV is going to throw it deep, and thrown it a lot, but Boise State is going to control the clock by running the ball, as they win, 38-33. Odds: BSU -2.5, O/U 58.5
  8. (2) Michigan Vs. (16) Iowa - After two coach suspensions, a scandal that shocked the college football world, some gutsy wins, and a win over their rival, Michigan is coming into the Big Ten championship game undefeated. They have one of the best defenses in football, and also the best running back in the Big Ten. However, they might have the most hyped up player in college football. That’s JJ McCarthy, and it’s combined with the fact that he hasn’t had satisfactory numbers the past few weeks, and has been throwing to the Heisman race just because he’s the quarterback on one of the best teams in the country. He’s thrown for 2,480 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. He’s also ran for 3 touchdowns. In the past 3 weeks, he’s thrown for 350 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Against Ohio State, he had just 150 yards and his only touchdown. Remember, all 3 of these games were without Jim Harbaugh. With Harbaugh back, the game plan should go back to what it was before, which was Jim throwing the ball more. He only threw one whole touchdown in the month of November. If the running game is working, which it has most of the year, then there’s no need to thrown it, and we say that against Penn State, when McCarthy didn’t attempt a single pass in the second half. The reason why the running game has been doing so good is Blake Corum, who’s ran for 976 yards and 22 touchdowns off 202 carries. 20 of his touchdowns have came from inside the ten yard line, but he’s scored in every game, so if it’s not broke, don’t fix it. He’s scored 2 in his past 3 games, and has had more than 20 carries in all of them. Michigan averages 170 rush yards per game, third in the Big Ten. Michigan ran the ball 39 times last week, which contributed to them holding the ball for 33 and a half minutes. It’s going to be hard to that against Iowa’s defense, but Michigan has enough experience to do that. It also helps when Iowa’s top defensive player, Cooper DeJean, is out for the year. Iowa’s defense has still be great, allowing just 12 points per game and 280 yards per game, both fourth in the Big Ten. Michigan’s is even better, allowing 10 points per game, at the top of the country, while they allow 247 yards per game, second in both the Big Ten and the country. Mike Sainristil has came away with 5 picks this year, including two picks two weeks ago. Iowa’s offense isn’t as prolific as Michigan’s as their starting quarterback and best receiver went down with injuries and their the seasons ended halfway through. Erick All was the best receiver, and he finished the year with just 300 yards. On top of All being out, Iowa’s second best tight end also went down for the year with an injury. Three wide receivers have steeped up, but All remains the leading receiver. Cade McNamara, the former starting quarterback, has been replaced by Deacon Hill. Hill hasn’t been the best, but has improved throughout the season. He’s thrown for 976 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. He had 3 straight games with a completion percentage over 60%, but he had 39.3% last week. He’s going to be bottled up by Michigan’s defenses and that leads the the big win for Michigan, 52-8. Iowa just isn’t that good, so that’s why it’s so low on the list. Odds: MICH -22, O/U 34.5
  9. New Mexico State @ (24) Liberty - Liberty is in their first FBS conference championship game, and are also in their first ever season as a member of a conference in the FBS. Since coming over from Coastal Carolina, Jamey Chadwell took a good team and made them great. They went 8-5 last year, but are undefeated this year, and are trying to go a perfect 14-0, as they don’t have a chance at the playoffs. Kaidon Salter has been the star, although there is more to the team than just him. He’s thrown for 2,430 yards, 29 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. He’s also ran for 900 yards and 11 touchdowns. He only threw 11 passes last week, completing 4 of them, for just 22 yards and a touchdown, but had 76 rushing touchdowns. Liberty ran the ball insanely well against UTEP, with 441 total rush yards when the clock hit double zeros. It did come at a cost, as Liberty lost 3 fumbles, but if Salter, who’s been arguably the best G5 quarterback this season, can just sit back and hand the ball off, New Mexico State is going to have to get creative at a way to stop everyone. 7 different players had 30 or more yards last week, but none had more than 100 yards. Quinton Cooley led the team last week, with 83 yards. He did that on 13 carries, and 3 touchdowns. Cooley has ran for 1,250 yards and 13 touchdowns on 202 carries. Cooley and Salter are both at the top in the CUSA in both rushing yards and touchdowns. Just because they run the ball a lot, however, does not mean that their receivers have bad numbers. CJ Daniels has caught 40 passes for 830 yards and 9 touchdowns. Even though that’s not bad, he’s only had 3 catches for 39 yards combined in the past 2 weeks. After Daniels, however, no other player has more than 20 catches for Liberty. Daniels and the rest of receivers games depend on what the game plan is, and how much Liberty runs the ball. Liberty averages 295.4 rush yards per game, first in the CUSA. NMSU is at third, averaging 206. New Mexico State has also played 1 more game than Liberty. Even so, Liberty averages 40 points per game to New Mexico State’s 28. Just like Liberty, their quarterback is also one of the best dual threat quarterbacks in the country. Diego Pavia has thrown for 2,730 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. He’s ran for 806 yards and 5 touchdowns. Star Thomas is the leading back, with 103 carries first 604 yards and 4 touchdowns. In NMSU biggest game this season, a 31-10 win over Auburn, they had a great balance of running and passing, and had 414 yards as total. Their 37 rushes led them to co trolling the ball for 39 minutes. Their defense also got some stops, and both teams have great defenses. NMSU allows 20 points per game, first in the CUSA, and 362 yards per game, third. Liberty allows 22 points per game, third in the CUSA, and 344.5 yards per game, the best in the conference. NMSU has sacked opposing quarterbacks 31 times, while Liberty has done that 25 times. I think both team’s rushing attacks are good enough to beat the other’s defenses, but Liberty’s ability to score lots of points gives them the win, 49-38. Odds: LIB -11.5, O/U 56.5
  10. App State @ Troy - Two prolific offenses are going at it on Saturday, with Troy looking to repeat as Sun Belt champions. App State is looking to win their third title, and are trying to get revenge from their loss back in 2021. These two offenses are both at the top of the Sun Belt, with App State clocking in at second, and Troy at fifth. I’ll start with App State, who are averaging 35.8 points per game, .5 less than the team leading the conference, Texas State. The Mountaineers are also averaging 456 yards per game, and a big reason that they’re averaging this much is Joey Aguilar. Aguilar has thrown for 3,270 yards, 33 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. He’s also ran for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns. He threw for  300 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception last week in a blowout win over Georgia Southern. In the biggest win for App State this year, a 26-23 upset of James Madison in overtime, he threw for 320 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interceptions. Most of his throws have been going to Kaedin Robinson, who’s caught 53 passes for 720 yards and 10 touchdowns. He’s caught 2 touchdowns in both of his past two games, and has now scored a touchdown in his past four games. He’s going to have to step up for the offense, as Nate Noel, the leading rusher for the team, is questionable. He’s ran for 790 yards and 5 touchdowns on 159 carries. He’s played in 10 games this season, not playing since the JMU game. In his past 5 games, he’s combined for 136 yards and 1 touchdown, all on 36 carries. If even he comes back, would he even play good? I don’t think he would, as Troy has one of the best defenses in the Sun Belt. They allow just 102 rush yards, second in the conference. On top of that, Troy lets up 17 points per game, the best in the conference. They’ve also sacked opposing quarterbacks 40 times, the second most in the conference. App State’s isn’t nearly as good, and their around middle of the pack for the Sun Belt. They allow 384.5 yards per game and 27 points per game, and it should be easy for Troy to move the ball on them in this one. Troy is lead by their leading running back, Kimani Vidal. Vidal has 254 carries for 1,350 yards and 9 touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 200 receiving yards and a touchdown. Vidal ran for 70 yards and a touchdown last week, as Troy coasted to a 35-17 win over USM. Gunnar Watson threw for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception in the win, coming from 13 and 2 yards out. Watson has thrown for 3,150 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. He has a pretty big arm, but when you run it as much as Troy does with Vidal, you don’t really need your quarterback to do much. His top receiver has been Jabre Barber, who’s caught 60 passes for 855 yards and 5 touchdowns. He’s seventh in the Sun Belt for yards, and although he’s no where near the top of list for touchdowns, Chris Lewis is. Lewis has 29 receptions for 640 yards and 9 touchdowns, which are tied for second in the conference. Troy’s defense shuts down App State to win big, 34-14. Odds: TROY -5.5, O/U 52.5


My Heisman Finalists

It’s a bit different than what I’ve done this season, but just imagine this as if I had the sole power of picking the Heisman finalists. First place would be my winner, and then second would be the runner up and so on. Enjoy!


  1. Jayden Daniels - If I had a Heisman vote, it would go to Daniels. He has 50 total touchdowns this year and 4,946 yards. He’s thrown for 3,812 yards, 40 touchdowns, and just 4 interceptions. He has a completion percentage of 72.2% and a QBR of 95.6. On the ground, he has 1,134 yards and 10 touchdowns. His 50 touchdowns make him the fifth player in SEC history to score 50 touchdowns. The other 4 all won the Heisman, including Bryce Young two years ago. He’s been dominant all season, and if not for LSU’s bad defense, the Tigers would be in playoff contention, with Daniels at the forefront. He isn’t as good as Joe Burrow back in 2019, but one of the best quarterbacks in the history of college football. LSU’s regular season ended last week with a 42-30 win over Texas A&M, and just have a bowl game left. Daniels threw for 235 yards and 4 touchdowns last week, while also running for 120 yards. LSU isn’t going to a NY6, but are predicted to play NC State in the ReliaQuest bowl by Jerry Palm of CBS Sports. Maybe Daniels will play in that game, as he has a very good chance at being a first round pick this year. That bowl game takes place on January 1st, nearly a whole month after the Heisman winner would be announced.  If Daniels doesn’t win the Heisman, he should win the Davy O’Brien, the award for the best quarterback in the country. 
  2. Bo Nix - Nix is the second best player in college football, and just like I wrote for Daniels, if he doesn’t win the Heisman, he’ll win the Davy O’Brien. However, unlike Daniels, Nix still has a lot to play for. Oregon takes on Washington in the last Pac 12 Championship game ever, and if they win that, they have a great chance at making the playoffs. If they do beat Washington, the Playoff Predictor is giving them a 86% chance at making the playoffs. But going back to Nix, he’s thrown for 3,906 yards, 37 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. He hasn’t ran it as much as Daniels, but still has 160 yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground this year. He had 510 yards and 14 touchdowns last year, so it’s not like he can’t run. Nix also has the best completion percentage in the country, at 78.6%. He also leads the country in passing yards. It also helps to be this good when you’ve been sacked just 5 times this year. Last week, Nix threw for 367 yards and 2 touchdowns, including an incredible cross body throw at the end of the first half to help Oregon pull away, as they’ve went up 21-7 and never looked back, winning 31-7. Nix also had a 16 yards rushing touchdown. When you watch Nix play, you can see that he’ll become the best quarterback in this draft class, and I fully believe that. Oregon’s best win was last week against Oregon State, and has had an easy schedule, other than the Washington game. If Oregon can get their revenge, they will be in the playoffs most likely. I don’t know how much that sways the real Heisman voters, but it will be a very close race between him and Daniels. 
  3. Michael Penix Jr. - Penix and Washington had to grind out a close win last week, and now, for the first time in a long time, he doesn’t lead the country in passing yards. He’s second with 3,899 yards. He’s also thrown for 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Unlike Nix and Daniels, Penix isn’t a good rushers, with negative rush yards this season, but does have 3 rushing touchdowns. He’s fall from first to third is mainly because of his past 2 games. Against Oregon State, he had just 162 yards, but 3 total touchdowns. The conditions were bad, but regardless of defense or conditions this year, he’s still succeeded up until two weeks ago. Then, last week, against Washington State, Penix had 204 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. However, that marks three games in a row with a completion percentage under 60%. The playing conditions weren’t bad last week either. Penix still has a 65.6% completion percentage this year however. Just like in their first matchup, when he threw for 302 yards, 4 touchdowns, and an interception, Penix is going to have to play good. They’re most likely going to a NY6 if they lose, but Washington obviously doesn’t want to have to fall back on that, as they’re undefeated. 
  4. Marvin Harrison Jr. - After suffering a devastating loss to rival Michigan last week, Ohio State has an outside shot at making the playoff. According to the playoff predictor, Ohio State now has a 58% chance to make the playoff. It seems a little too high to me, and the only reason why they’re in that spot is because of Harrison. He’s caught 67 passes for 1,211 yards and 14 touchdowns this year. He’s also ran for a touchdown. Harrison started out slow, with just 2 catches for 18 yards in OSU’s week one win. However, in their biggest games this season, Harrison has showed up. Against Penn State, he had 11 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown. That was his only game this year with double digit catches, and also had his second most receiving yards this year, but only had one less. Last week, Harrison had 5 catches for 118 yards and a touchdown. Ohio State’s turnovers wrecked them last week, and if not for that, Ohio State could be playing Iowa on Saturday. Harrison has carried the offense for most of the season, and he will be in contention for the Biletnikoff, and potentially a be a top 5 pick this year in the NFL draft.
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